🛠️How It Works
Polymarket and Kalshi let anyone create a market and trade outcome shares. Prices of those shares encode the crowd’s probability for each outcome. AI2DAO adds an extra analytics layer by processing external signals and summarizing them for users.
Signal collection — news, social chatter, on-chain activity, and large-trader behavior
Filtering & weighting — AI removes noise, weighs sources, and highlights salient signals
Probability estimation — combine market prices (which already reflect probability) with external signals, convert evidence into a single percentage
Display — show the percentage and a concise “why” note in the extension and on the site
We do not disclose exact algorithms to prevent gaming. Models are continuously evaluated and improved; high-level methodology updates are shared in the blog.
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