❓FAQ

How often are probabilities updated?

It depends on market activity and the news cycle. Popular markets update every few minutes; quieter ones less frequently.

What does the percentage mean?

It’s the current probability estimate that an outcome will occur. For example, 65% ≈ 0.65. It is not a guarantee and may change as new data arrives.

What data do you analyze?

• News & official releases (verified announcements)

• Social & trend signals (changes in sentiment and attention)

• On-chain data (stake flows, prices, large-wallet activity)

• Historical analogs (pattern matching across prior events)

How accurate are the predictions?

No forecast is perfect. Our goal is to make useful probability estimates and context. Always consider risk and use AI2DAO as an information layer, not as a directive.

Is this financial advice?

No. AI2DAO provides information only. Trading on Polymarket or Kalshi carries risk. You make your own decisions.

Why can AI2DAO’s probability differ from the market price?

Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s stake distribution; our estimate also incorporates external signals. Divergences are insights for analysis, not automatic trade signals.

Do you use my personal data?

No. We work with publicly available information and do not track individual user behavior.